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Iran : A very offensive response
30.10.2009

It was due October 23, and Tehran just handed in their response to the P5+1 (U.S, France, Great Britain, Germany, Russia and China) proposal on an exchange of enriched uranium against fuel rods for a research reactor to the IAEA. According to our sources, the response is an open war declaration, so unacceptable that the UN agency is embarrassed to divulge its content. The P5+1 have gone into mute mode. In order to temporize they have instead turned their attention towards Ahmadinejad’s speech of the day by analyzing it as a prelude to an agreement. In order to achieve this analysis, they have slightly censored the speech. | Revelations and comments on a deadlock |



Ahmadinejad’s Speech | The vast majority of Western, Russian and Chinese media have reported Ahmadinejad’s speech with enthusiasm by affirming that it is the prelude to a historic agreement with the six on the exchange of uranium, an agreement itself “a prelude to Iran’s will to cooperate with the Security Council. The latter has stipulated in its resolutions that the freeze of uranium enrichment” by Iran is an unconditional step to lift sanctions. It would allow the beginning of an international partnership with Iran as per the clauses of the incentive offered in 2006.

The snag is that Ahmadinejad never made such a speech. He declared quite the contrary. In order to achieve the enthusiastic version the media cut out a key phrase of his speech. Thus, reversing the meaning of his speech.

The following is the occidental version of Ahmadinejad’s speech :
“Yesterday they demanded its suspension (Iranian Nuclear Program), today they have accepted the exchange for the fuel rods and to participate in the construction of new reactors and nuclear plants. They have gone from a confrontational policy to a co-operational policy… we will grasp any honest hand stretched to us, but if it is a hand marred by conspiracy and lies, we will give the same response we gave Bush and his accomplices.”

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This is the integral version of Ahmadinejad’s speech :
“Yesterday they demanded its suspension (Iranian Nuclear Program), today they have accepted the exchange for the fuel rods and to participate in the construction of new reactors and nuclear plants. They have gone from a confrontational policy to a co-operational policy. For many years you chose to confront the Iranian nation with sanctions, by adopting resolutions, or even by threatening us with military strikes. You saw our reaction. Now, you want to change your conduct. We salute this change and we will grasp any honest hand stretched to us, but if it is a hand marred by conspiracy and lies, we will give the same response we gave Bush and his lackeys.”

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Iran has categorically rejected all the resolutions of the Security Council (P5+1) and its appeasement initiatives. A new set of sanctions will be necessary. It is a downturn for the Americans who need a regional entente with the mullahs, thus their lack of reaction. It is also a deception for Europe and their important financial interests in Iran. Which will be the collateral damage if new sanctions are imposed.

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decoding no.1 | The censorship of the incriminated phrase is only the summit of the enormous deception, for this speech in its complete version was meant to be a diplomatic stretch to the technical response that Iran handed in to the IAEA today. That is the core of the problem.

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The regime’s response | Tehran was hoping that western media would report his response. But since it was censored (and we will explain why), the regime decided to diffuse it through the Pasdaran controlled news agencies Fars and Iran.

We learn that this exchange proposal presented as a joint effort from the P5+1 was actually one that was already proposed by the U.S. 5 months ago. Which means that that the missing phrase “For many years you chose to confront… Now, you want to change your conduct.” was addressed directly to the U.S.

The expression "(...) and his lackeys" is often used by the regime in its slogans or insults. The word "lackeys" being used as superlative of the object, in this case former U.S. President George W. Bush. We have therefore, a response exclusively addressed to Obama.

The response articulates around three major questionings of the American offer with heavy consequences for the future of the conflict between Tehran and Washington.

First, Tehran contests the necessity of “sending off 1200kg of low enriched uranium (LEU) it has in stock, which corresponds to its total stock.” (It is important to underline the fact that we at IRAN-RESIST have in the past affirmed that Tehran only has 1200kg and not 1500kg as declared by many experts !) Whatever the quantity, Tehran points out that its research reactor that will be stopped in a couple of years had used in the past 20 years only 116kg of medium enriched uranium (MEU). Therefore, Tehran does not see the necessity of sending off 1200kg of LEU to receive in exchange 197kg of MEU. It will by consequence give the exact quantity that it needs presently for its research reactor. If the needs evolved to greater quantities, Iran would then ship out extra quantity needed (In prevision to the delay of the completion of its Arak reactor which will replace the Tehran reactor.)

Second, each time that Tehran wants an exchange between their LEU and its equivalent in foreign MEU, it should be delivered instantly or in a maximum lead time of 2 months and not 18 months as stipulated in the American offer.

Third, Tehran does not wish to have neither France nor Russia as suppliers. For, France still owes Iran its part of the UF6 production stipulated in the EURODIF contract (50 tonnes) and that Russia has been invariably delaying its delivery of the Bouchehr reactor. Iran wants another supplier.

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decoding no. 2 | These three conditions are eminently political. First, Tehran wants to preserve a minimum of 1100kg of LEU, supposed quantity necessary to arm a nuclear nuke, which would obviously continue to engage Iran in it’s psychological war with the U.S.

The second condition is a sign of authority, a provocation directed to the U.S. The major condition being the third : Tehran pushes Russia and France aside in order to be left in a tête-à-tête with the Americans as their sole supplier of uranium enriched products that could possibly be deterred for military purposes. Iran considers that the delivery of MEU by the U.S. would be the recognition of the legality of their nuclear program and the recognition of the unjust sanctions it has been a victim of.

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Conclusion | Yesterday, the regime said no to an appeasement and clearly stated their conditions which they accompanied with an overture in the form of a speech : “Now, you want to change your conduct. We salute this change and we will grasp any honest hand stretched to us”…

The day before, Mousavi and Karroubi, whom we had scarcely heard on this subject, both spoke out to support such an uncompromising solution. It is not a coincidence it is part of Tehran’s response to the offer.

For the past month, the regime and its Green movement lobbyists have been preparing protests around the world in support of Mousavi and Karroubi. They have been calling all the regime’s opponents to unity. A few days before the scheduled protests, the two who are not genuine opponents come out and support Iran’s inalienable right to enriching uranium in the same extremist terms used by Ahmadinejad. They have thus, in the benefit of the regime redefined the real purpose of these demonstrations in order to turn them into a national consensus, including all political spectres, of the mullacratic nuclear program. The famous animators of the Green movement, who had been at rest these past few weeks, have suddenly reappeared on Tweeter. We call on all to boycott these regime lobbyists and their demonstrations.

We can understand the resentment of Washington that has preferred censoring instead of engaging itself in a difficult controversy or triggering Iranian reactions that could pose the sensitive question of newer sanctions. Washington has however reengaged its offensive on the human rights front, not for the detained Mousavists but in the direction of Americans detained in Iranian jails and minors on death row…

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The french version of this article (with more links) :
- Iran : Une réponse très offensive
- (30 OCTOBRE 2009)

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| Mots Clefs | Nucléaire : Politique Nucléaire des mollahs |
| Mots Clefs | Institutions : Provocations |
| Mots Clefs | Nucléaire : Crise & Escalade |
| Mots Clefs | Institutions : Diplomatie (selon les mollahs) |

| Mots Clefs | Mollahs & co : Ahmadinejad |
| Mots Clefs | Mollahs & co : Mir-Hossein Moussavi |
| Mots Clefs | Mollahs & co : Karroubi |
| Mots Clefs | Réformateurs & faux dissidents : Le Mouvement Vert |

| Mots Clefs | Décideurs : OBAMA |
| Mots Clefs | Enjeux : Apaisement |

| Mots Clefs | Décideurs : P5+1 (les Six) |
| Mots Clefs | Enjeux : Sanctions (du Conseil de Sécurité) |

| Mots Clefs | Auteurs & Textes : Journalistes et média Français |